Monday, September 12, 2022

Scientific Reasoning

What’s the difference between deductive and inductive reasoning?

Science is about discovering the reasons why things happen in the universe, so it shouldn’t be a surprise to learn that scientific knowledge is gained through reasoning. There’s more than a single way to reason, though, and one plays a much bigger role in science than any other.

Deduction is a form of reasoning that uses broad, generalized facts to draw conclusions about specific questions or events. For example, let’s say you go to bed one night, wake up at dawn, and the ground is covered in a layer of fresh snow. You also see a line of tiny footprints imprinted on the snow. Using deductive reasoning, you know an animal walked there during the night. You reach this conclusion because, a: animals leave footprints when they walk through snow; and b: the snow fell during the night; therefore, c: an animal walked across the snow during the night. If a and b are true, then c must be true. 

Deduction doesn’t really lead to new knowledge, though. When a more general truth is already known, deduction simply proves that more specific instances are true as well. You know that gravity causes objects to fall when they’re dropped, and an apple is an object, so concluding that an apple will fall when it’s dropped isn’t particularly informative.

Science is mainly based on induction, which, in a way, is the opposite of deduction. Inductive reasoning uses specific examples to draw more general conclusions. Going back to the tracks in the snow, induction might lead you to conclude that a possum walked across the yard at night. In five years, you’ve never observed any animals but possums during the night. The tracks also appear to have been made by a small, four-legged animal. Therefore, it was most likely a possum that crossed the yard. Inductive reasoning leads to most likely conclusions, but there’s always a chance, no matter how small, that something else is the answer. Scientific knowledge is gained through inductive reasoning. Scientists observe specific events, whether they occur in nature or in controlled experiments. Then, based on the accumulated evidence from many specific observations, they draw conclusions about the world. Much of what we think of as scientific fact began as a hypothesis. A hypothesis is an explanation— based on background knowledge and observations—for very specific events that occur in the natural world. Hypotheses are tested in scientific experiments, and if not proven wrong, they often become the building blocks of theories. A theory is an explanation that applies to multiple events. In other words, a theory is a broader, more general explanation. Since science is based on induction, even the strongest hypotheses and theories have to be adjusted if new evidence appears.

reasoning: the process of forming conclusions, judgments, or inferences based on facts or other evidence 

deduction: reasoning from the general to the specific, in which a conclusion must be true because it’s based on true statements 

induction: reasoning that uses specific events or facts to draw more general conclusions 

evidence: something that helps either prove or disprove a conclusion

theory: a statement that explains a group of facts or phenomena; most accepted theories have been repeatedly tested and can be used to make predictions about nature

hypothesis: a statement that explains a specific fact or phenomenon; a hypothesis is tested in each scientific experiment

The example of deductive reasoning that’s probably more famous than any other is: Socrates is a man. All men are mortal. Therefore, Socrates is mortal.